The realism and vividness of deepfakes makes them unusually effective at depicting alternative people and facts. People share deepfakes not necessarily because they believe them, but because they want to reinforce their identity and social position. Deepfakes rarely change minds; the threat they pose is to radicalize by sowing chaos and confusion. The following reviews the consequences of deepfakes in both the social sphere and people’s private lives and suggests potential interventions to reduce these negative consequencesFootnote 61 .
Deepfakes are hyper-realistic digital impersonations or falsifications of images, video, and/or audio created through neural networks using machine learning models called generative adversarial networks (GAN). They appear in a wide range of contexts, from arts and entertainment to advertising, and education. The most frequent application of deepfakes is in pornography; as of October 2019, 96 per cent of deepfakes on the internet were pornographicFootnote 62 . Nevertheless, it is deepfakes’ actual and potential contribution(s) to the epidemic of fake news that has engaged academia and the media, although they also pose a number of social threatsFootnote 63 . Images and videos carry meaning by appearing to represent real life directly. Numerous deepfakes have appeared of politicians making claims that contradict their actual position, like the one uploaded to a hacked Ukrainian news website that depicted Volodymyr Zelensky, President of the Ukraine, telling his soldiers to lay down their armsFootnote 64 or Barack Obama using profanity towards Donald TrumpFootnote 65 . If such deceptions go viral, they could have an irreversible effect on world affairs.
Humans process visual data naturally and thus fluentlyFootnote 66 , and people believe what they seeFootnote 67 . Moreover, the detailed imagery of deepfakes has the potential to prime psychological proximity. Concrete misinformation (including disinformation) primes participants to think of events as being nearer and more probable, increasing their perceived threatFootnote 68 , and likelihood of news about them being sharedFootnote 69 .
How Effective Are Deepfakes?
Studies disagree about whether people are able to discriminate deepfakes from real images. When compared to traditional sources of fake news, such as text or audio, some studies have found deepfakes to be no more credible or effective at implanting false memories than their counterpartsFootnote 70Footnote 71 . However, while these studies are recent, the technology is changing so quickly that the studies did not deploy the most recent AI-based image-creation technologies available online. Worse, some studies of deepfake credibility use only a single videoFootnote 72 .
Lago et al. (2022) reports that newer AI-synthesized images are perceived as realFootnote 73 . Indeed, synthetic faces generated by the most state-of-the-art GANs were judged as more real than actual real images, pointing to the potential of deepfakes to simulate reality and circumvent the eerie, unsettling feeling that arises when humanoid robots or computer-generated images are too close to the real thing (the “uncanny valley” effect)Footnote 74 . Further, Köbis et al. (2021) show that people cannot reliably detect deepfakes, and that neither raising awareness nor introducing financial incentives improves their detection accuracyFootnote 75 . An even more recent study found that deepfake videos are both more believable than fabricated images and text and that people are more likely to engage with themFootnote 76 . Rapidly evolving GAN technology will soon render deepfakes indistinguishable from genuine content if it has not already done so.
Do People Care About Accuracy?
Information veracity is not a deciding factor when users choose to share content onlineFootnote 77 . Even when users can identify deepfakes as untruthful, they still might share them within their social circle. Indeed, Vosoughi et al. (2018) found that fake news is diffused faster and further online than factual informationFootnote 78 .
A hint about why people share and view deepfakes can be found where they are most common. The term “deepfake” was coined by a Reddit forum created for sharing pornographic videos of women whose faces were synthetically swapped for those of others, mostly celebritiesFootnote 79 . Consumers of pornographic deepfakes are unlikely to be fooled by the imagery they are watching as the website or video title is typically marked as “fake”; there is no pretense of truth. Thus, viewers of pornographic deepfakes obtain whatever benefits they get despite or because of their knowledge that what they are watching is fake. This could also be true of many political deepfakes. Other uses of deepfakes similarly do not depend on their veracity, such as their use(s) for artistic and educational purposes.
Most deepfakes on social media will exist for the same reason as fake news, to attract ‘clicks’. To achieve this, fake news exploits two properties that engage people’s attention: novelty and negativityFootnote 80 . Sharing novel facts holds social value because it suggests that the sharer holds inside informationFootnote 81 . The tendency to attend to negative information is well established. People attend more to potential losses than to gainsFootnote 82 . Sharing negative information has the veneer of nobility by warning others of potential threats. Health professionals have been found to be more willing to retransmit false rumours to prevent negative repercussions (e.g., causing cancer) than to produce positive outcomes (e.g., curing cancer)Footnote 83Footnote 84 .
People share with their ideological community because it satisfies a fundamental human motivation to strengthen one’s social attachmentsFootnote 85 . It also confirms one’s identity as part of an ideological groupFootnote 86 . Protecting self-identity takes priority over judging accuracyFootnote 87 . Indeed, identity (e.g., nationality, religion, race, and/or political party) will colour what people consider to be trueFootnote 88 . However, because people tend to live in information bubbles, partisan belief differences generally demonstrate an ignorance of inconvenient truths rather than an acceptance of falsehoods. Therefore, people may see and share a deepfake video that aligns with their beliefs while never coming across any reason to believe that it is in fact a deepfake. In one study showing subjects faked photographs, conservatives were more likely to “remember” Barack Obama shaking hands with the president of Iran, while liberals were more likely to “remember” George W. Bush on vacation with a celebrity during Hurricane Katrina (neither event actually happened)Footnote 89 . Deepfakes have been shown to radicalize people against the oppositionFootnote 90 , therefore, like other information sources, deepfakes may be more likely to radicalize existing views than to change people’s opinions.
Older people are more likely to be deceived by deepfakes, and political ideology influences how deepfaked news is evaluatedFootnote 91 . While Republicans and Democrats in the US are equally inclined to share fake newsFootnote 92 , low-conscientiousness conservatives (e.g., those least likely to follow societal norms for impulse control) are the most likely to share misinformation due to their desire for chaosFootnote 93 .
Consequences
Societies, companies, and consumers are all potentially threatened by deepfakes. Caldwell et al. (2020) ranks fake audio or video content as the single biggest threat posed by AI for applications to crime and terrorismFootnote 94 . Europol (2022) has warned that deepfakes can be used to harass and humiliate people online, perpetrate extortion and fraud, falsify online identities and fool “know your customer” mechanisms, sexually exploit children online, falsify or manipulate electronic evidence for criminal justice investigations, and disrupt financial marketsFootnote 95 .
Deepfakes also pose a threat to our governing structures. The uncertainty deepfakes introduce allows people to live in their own subjective realities, enlarging social divisions and obstructing the democratic processFootnote 96 . This is especially dangerous during elections when deepfakes are likely to be used by both foreign and domestic powers to manipulate outcomesFootnote 97 . Antagonistic parties may be enticed to subject an electorate to deepfakes long before an election in order to prime future attitudesFootnote 98 .
In regards to businesses, threats include fake reviews of consumer items, defamation and sabotage, and damage to a firm’s image, reputation, and trustworthinessFootnote 99 . For instance, in 2019 criminals successfully impersonated the head of a firm’s parent company with voice spoofing software thereby tricking the CEO of a UK energy company into transferring $243,000 USD to them.
Beyond such “deepfake phishing”, AI will render some technologies obsolete. Threats to consumers include new susceptibility to blackmail, intimidation, sabotage, harassment, defamation, revenge porn, identity theft, and bullying.
The personalized nature of deepfake pornography adds a new layer of emotional distress and threat for victimsFootnote 100 . Most pornographic deepfakes present celebrities whose reputations may provide a degree of shelter from being seen as the genuine subjects of the videos. They also possess public platforms, as well as legal and financial means to dispute the veracity of the videos. In cases of revenge porn, private citizens do not have even these limited protectionsFootnote 101 .
Even when citizens do not believe the misinformation presented to them or are not concerned about truth, deepfakes can increase uncertainty about content and decrease trust in mediaFootnote 102 . In the US, fake news caused 50 per cent of Republicans and 38 per cent of Democrats to reduce the amount of news they consumeFootnote 103 . As COVID-19 exemplified, in times of crisis this atmosphere of conspiracy and uncertainty can leave citizens vulnerable to misinformationFootnote 104 . Deepfakes are exacerbating this problem.
The use of deepfakes against public individuals creates the Liar’s Dividend: individuals facing accusations can write off factual evidence as deepfakesFootnote 105 . Widespread deepfakes can prime individuals into doubting the authenticity of information. The Malaysian Minister of Economic Affairs deflected evidence of his involvement in a sex tryst by proclaiming it as a deepfake despite no evidenceFootnote 106 . More recently, Elon Musk’s lawyers used it in a lawsuitFootnote 107 .
Deepfakes offer plenty of potential benefits. They have enabled new and intriguing art forms, served as excellent pedagogical tools, and been a benign source of pleasure and amusement. They can also offer business opportunitiesFootnote 108 . Facebook’s metaverse will be largely composed of deepfake objects. Deepfakes afford new forms of marketing campaigns (e.g., through the removal of language barriers), virtual brand ambassadors (Lil Miquela is a fake influencer who has over 3 million followers), and a range of technical innovations. To illustrate, there are now virtual newsreaders based on real people. Deepfakes can also be used to enhance memory by, for example, making a dead person seem alive.
In the wrong hands, deepfakes are a novel kind of social virus, and like all viruses, their future trajectory and consequences are hard to predict. On a societal level, their greatest threat is their ability to shape public discourse. When misinformation enters the public conversation, it becomes increasingly dangerous as it alters collective understanding and memory. Their increasing prevalence could also lead people to stop believing much of what they see.
Solutions
Deepfakes are created to trick us; the human mind is not prepared to always accurately identify the outputs of sophisticated technologies. While some tech giants have started flagging some content as misinformation, such flags are not a silver bullet. The shareability of fake news has been found to decrease when it is accompanied by warningsFootnote 109 ; however, their effect on its believability is unclearFootnote 110 . Prior exposure to misinformation increases its perceived accuracy, possibly negating the effectiveness of tags. Detection systems integrating both human and model predictions have been found to be more accurate than humans and automatic detection methods working aloneFootnote 111 .
Steps that might alleviate the problem include pre-exposure warnings that make people aware that information might be false before they see it. Warnings need to be specific; it is ineffective to merely mention that misinformation may be presentFootnote 112 . In addition, warnings should come with an alternative causal account that explains both what happened and the reason for the misinformation. Companies can educate consumers about their products, brands, and services, helping them identify firm-sponsored and credible sources of informationFootnote 113 .
From a legal standpoint, there is currently little distributor liability for social media platforms circulating deepfakesFootnote 114 . In the United States, the legal debate is centered around Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act, which prevents companies from being held liable for the content on their platformsFootnote 115 . The justice system could specify civil liability for the creators and distributors of deepfakes, while also increasing legal protection for victims of defamation.
Individuals have little power to prevent deepfake attacks. When deepfakes threaten reputations, individuals can increase their ability to deny actions by recording their activities, but this raises privacy concernsFootnote 116 . Methods to disseminate facts can help protect communities if they are deeply informed by understanding of the public's information landscape and means of navigating it.
Individuals are more easily persuaded and corrected by someone they know. Therefore, societal norms and discourse on deepfakes should be nudged to create a social environment where people are not only more skeptical about what they see, but also are encouraged to challenge each others’ informational claims.
To alter societal norms, thought leaders and those most central in social networks are key. Educational resources including digital literacy training are helpful tools, especially if directed at influencers. Videos explaining political deepfakes have been found to reduce uncertainty, and in so doing can increase trust in mediaFootnote 117 . But norms only really change through collective action.